Leevon / PPK 1-1 Augsdaugava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

Leevon / PPK
1-1
Augsdaugava
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Leevon / PPK vs Augsdaugava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leevon / PPK v Augsdaugava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 12%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.12/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +26%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
526 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Leevon / PPK vs Augsdaugava Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leevon / PPK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Augsdaugava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
27.05.2023 Augsdaugava 1-2 HT 0-0 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK LETK
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Augsdaugava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK and Augsdaugava shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leevon / PPK at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Augsdaugava?

Leevon / PPK 1-1 Augsdaugava in the Latvia - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Augsdaugava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 66%, draw 20%, Augsdaugava 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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