12/04/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Marupe vs Riga Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
34%
Draw
24%
29%
Away Win
38%
54%
Under 2.5
45%
46%
Over 2.5
55%
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
42%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marupe v Riga Mariners — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marupe
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Riga Mariners
EU Bookmakers 42%
+34% /
+34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-29%
/
+128%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
315 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
366 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
FAQ
Marupe vs Riga Mariners
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Riga Mariners edged past Marupe 2-1 away from home in the Latvia - 1st Division on 12 Apr 2025.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.
What was the final score of Marupe vs Riga Mariners?
Marupe 1-2 Riga Mariners in the Latvia - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marupe vs Riga Mariners?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marupe 36%, draw 34%, Riga Mariners 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marupe), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Marupe)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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