Skanste 1-1 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

Skanste
1-1
Smiltene
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Skanste vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.1pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Skanste v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +22%
1.70/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.51
-34% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
419 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Skanste vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Smiltene
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Skanste Skanste 0-3 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
28.07.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-3 HT 0-1 Skanste Skanste LET1
12.08.2023 Skanste Skanste 3-0 HT 2-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
14.04.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 1-2 HT 1-2 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste and Smiltene shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Skanste at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Skanste had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Skanste and 1.00 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Skanste vs Smiltene?

Skanste 1-1 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Skanste 63%, draw 20%, Smiltene 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Skanste), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skanste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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