Pyramids 1-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.09/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.92
+36% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.7 Crosses 12.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Ahly
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
291 Passes 382
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-2 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
22.07.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
12.07.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-2 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
23.07.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
05.05.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
10.04.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
1-1
AWAY Al Ahly
0.51 xG 0.89
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
167 Passes 304
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
4 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids and Al Ahly shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pyramids had 39% of the ball to Al Ahly's 61%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.51 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pyramids and 1.50 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs Al Ahly?

Pyramids 1-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 35%, draw 27%, Al Ahly 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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