Baerum 3-3 Grorud IL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 12 Apr 2025

Baerum
3-3
Grorud IL
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - NM Cup – 2025

Baerum vs Grorud IL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over Pick
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
33%
4-5
33%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+0.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baerum v Grorud IL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Grorud IL EU Bookmakers 57%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 6.00/2.00
+26% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
231 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Baerum vs Grorud IL Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Grorud IL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
The Meetings
05.10.2019 Baerum Baerum 1-1 HT 0-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Grorud IL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum and Grorud IL shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Grorud IL at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Grorud IL?

Baerum 3-3 Grorud IL in the Norway - NM Cup on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Grorud IL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grorud IL win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Baerum 25%, draw 22%, Grorud IL 54%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grorud IL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grorud IL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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