Gneist 0-2 Lysekloster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.95
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
62%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over Pick
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.1pp
62%
Away Win
76%
-13.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gneist EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 80%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/0.00
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
219 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 509 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gneist
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lysekloster
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
29.10.2023 Gneist Gneist 0-4 HT 0-0 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gneist
0-2
AWAY Lysekloster
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gneist vs Lysekloster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lysekloster beat Gneist 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lysekloster as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gneist had 41% of the ball to Lysekloster's 59%, shots finished 8-18.

What was the final score of Gneist vs Lysekloster?

Gneist 0-2 Lysekloster in the Norway - NM Cup on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gneist vs Lysekloster?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lysekloster win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gneist 14%, draw 24%, Lysekloster 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lysekloster) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lysekloster) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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