Orn Horten vs Arendal Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orn Horten v Arendal — Team-Based Signals
Orn Horten vs Arendal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Arendal
NOR3
3-0
HT 3-0
Orn Horten
NOR3
3-2
HT 2-1
Orn Horten
NOR3
8-1
HT 4-0
Arendal
NOR3
Orn Horten 1-1 Arendal — Actual Match Statistics
Orn Horten and Arendal shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arendal at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Orn Horten had 40% of the ball to Arendal's 60%, shots finished 14-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arendal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Orn Horten and 2.00 for Arendal.
What was the final score of Orn Horten vs Arendal?
Orn Horten 1-1 Arendal in the Norway - NM Cup on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orn Horten vs Arendal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Orn Horten 21%, draw 21%, Arendal 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arendal), Over 2.5 went the other way.