FK Ufa 2-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.7pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 22%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
2.13/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.97
+42% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.07.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
27.11.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
07.08.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-3 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
27.10.2021 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
2-1
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa squeezed past Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Ufa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Ufa had 40% of the ball to Alaniya Vladikavkaz's 60%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Ufa and 1.75 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

FK Ufa 2-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 55%, draw 22%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Ufa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Ufa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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