Chayka 2-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+11.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 54%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
1.29/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.79
+45% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Chayka Chayka RUS1
06.03.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
09.09.2020 Chayka Chayka 1-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
23.10.2019 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
2-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka nicked a narrow win over Torpedo Moscow 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Moscow at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chayka had 36% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 64%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chayka and 1.50 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Torpedo Moscow?

Chayka 2-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chayka 34%, draw 24%, Torpedo Moscow 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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