Tyumen 2-1 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.5pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
0.69/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.31
-41% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Shinnik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.07.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
06.04.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 0-2 HT 0-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
01.10.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-2 HT 1-1 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
2-1
AWAY Shinnik
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen edged past Shinnik 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Tyumen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tyumen had 54% of the ball to Shinnik's 46%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tyumen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tyumen and 1.00 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Shinnik?

Tyumen 2-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 33%, draw 34%, Shinnik 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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