OFK Beograd 3-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 42%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.31/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.29
+59% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 83%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
28.3 Crosses 20.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.79 xG 1.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
274 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
25.08.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-5 HT 2-3 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
02.11.2014 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
3-0
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.48 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
216 Passes 263
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd cruised past Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had OFK Beograd as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 46% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 54%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.48 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 2.33 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

OFK Beograd 3-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 44%, draw 25%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFK Beograd), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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