Kızılyıldız 2-1 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.1pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.52/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.73
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +50%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
53.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
39.9 Crosses 13.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Partizan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.16 xG 1.15
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
405 Passes 186
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-3 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
23.09.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-4 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
24.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRBK
20.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
09.03.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
20.12.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-1 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
2-1
AWAY FK Partizan
1.87 xG 0.20
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
422 Passes 204
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız edged past FK Partizan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 65% of the ball to FK Partizan's 35%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.87 to 0.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.50 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan?

Kızılyıldız 2-1 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 63%, draw 19%, FK Partizan 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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