Kızılyıldız 3-3 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.2pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.74/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/3.34
+58% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 73%
44.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
27.7 Crosses 13.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Partizan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.92 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
379 Passes 182
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
40 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-4 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
24.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRBK
20.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
09.03.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
20.12.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-1 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
26.04.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
3-3
AWAY FK Partizan
2.37 xG 1.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
491 Passes 256
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
41 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız and FK Partizan shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kızılyıldız at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 63% of the ball to FK Partizan's 37%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.37 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.00 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan?

Kızılyıldız 3-3 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 62%, draw 17%, FK Partizan 20%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kızılyıldız) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5
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