Beşiktaş 0-2 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.66
2-3
42%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.19
6+
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.48
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.62
X/2
9%
8.37
X/X
14%
5.19
2/1
12%
22.9
2/2
13%
6.21
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.72/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.6 Crosses 14.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.63 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
365 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
04.04.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
12.11.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
12.03.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
12.09.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
07.03.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-2 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
0-2
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.84 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
387 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK got the better of Beşiktaş 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 55% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 45%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.84 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.67 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir FK?

Beşiktaş 0-2 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 44%, draw 26%, Başakşehir FK 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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