Konyaspor 1-0 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.71
Over
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.82
2-3
41%
1.76
4-5
19%
3.99
6+
10%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.85
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
12%
13.55
X/1
16%
5.56
X/2
11%
5.7
X/X
11%
4.32
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.01
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 1/X at 13.55 — our 12% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.20/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.35
-20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.9 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Göztepe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
320 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Göztepe Göztepe 2-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
18.01.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TÜK
03.04.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
07.11.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
08.05.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 0-1 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
16.01.2021 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
1-0
AWAY Göztepe
1.51 xG 1.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
177 Passes 305
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor squeezed past Göztepe 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Konyaspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Konyaspor had 41% of the ball to Göztepe's 59%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.51 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Konyaspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Konyaspor and 1.00 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Göztepe?

Konyaspor 1-0 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Konyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 39%, draw 29%, Göztepe 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Konyaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Konyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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