Konyaspor 2-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 18 Jan 2024

Konyaspor
2-1 HT 0-0
Göztepe
📅18/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Konyaspor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
23%
4.11
X/2
10%
8.87
X/X
13%
4.61
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
9%
6.92
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Konyaspor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.48/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/0.29
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Konyaspor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Göztepe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
372 Passes 333
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.04.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
07.11.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
08.05.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 0-1 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
16.01.2021 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
15.02.2020 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
20.09.2019 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL

Konyaspor 2-1 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
2-1
AWAY Göztepe
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor edged past Göztepe 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Konyaspor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 52% of the ball to Göztepe's 48%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Konyaspor and 1.17 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Göztepe?

Konyaspor 2-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Cup on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Konyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 51%, draw 24%, Göztepe 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Konyaspor) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Konyaspor) ✗ BTTS No
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