Trabzonspor 3-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 18 Jan 2024

📅18/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.36
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
28.5
X/1
12%
3.35
X/2
7%
26.0
X/X
11%
9.42
2/1
11%
23.45
2/2
6%
20.25
2/X
6%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-16.5pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.3pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.73/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/3.30
+11% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -27%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
442 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 178 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
3-1
AWAY Manisa FK
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 6
15 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor got the better of Manisa FK 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 54% of the ball to Manisa FK's 46%, shots finished 23-6.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Manisa FK?

Trabzonspor 3-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - Cup on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 59%, draw 24%, Manisa FK 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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