Sivasspor 3-2 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 18 Jan 2024

Sivasspor
3-2 HT 1-0
Keçiörengücü
📅18/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.76
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
17.75
X/1
21%
3.59
X/2
8%
13.15
X/X
10%
6.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.75
2/2
9%
10.25
2/X
8%
18.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sivasspor v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 18%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.12/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.54
-3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards –

Sivasspor 3-2 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
3-2
AWAY Keçiörengücü
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor squeezed past Keçiörengücü 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 50% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 50%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Sivasspor 3-2 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - Cup on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 54%, draw 24%, Keçiörengücü 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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