ES Metlaoui 1-2 Club Africain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.95
No
61%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
7.4
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
30%
+9.6pp
61%
BTTS No
70%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Africain EU Bookmakers 58%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.68/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.39
+23% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Club Africain
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Club Africain Club Africain 3-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
19.01.2023 Club Africain Club Africain 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
11.12.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Africain Club Africain TUN1B
17.03.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Africain Club Africain TUN1
03.01.2021 Club Africain Club Africain 0-1 HT 0-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
09.08.2020 Club Africain Club Africain 2-1 HT 0-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Africain nicked a narrow win over ES Metlaoui 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Africain as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Africain led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.17 for Club Africain.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain?

ES Metlaoui 1-2 Club Africain in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Africain win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 19%, draw 28%, Club Africain 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Africain) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Africain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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