Gabes 2-0 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

Gabes
2-0 HT 1-0
Zarzis
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
46%
2.05
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.71
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.05 — our 46% vs market 40.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.4pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -67%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gabes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zarzis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.12.2024 Zarzis Zarzis 2-0 HT 1-0 Gabes Gabes TUN1
POST-MATCH Gabes vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabes got the better of Zarzis 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Gabes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Gabes vs Zarzis?

Gabes 2-0 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabes vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gabes 36%, draw 27%, Zarzis 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zarzis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zarzis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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