Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

Etoile Du Sahel
2-1 HT 2-0
Ben Guerdane
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Etoile Du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.08
No
56%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
28%
+15.4pp
56%
BTTS No
72%
-15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etoile Du Sahel v Ben Guerdane — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.63/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.18
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +46%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
348 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0

Etoile Du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ben Guerdane
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-3 HT 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
05.11.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
29.08.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
27.06.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
07.05.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
22.05.2022 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 3-0 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel nicked a narrow win over Ben Guerdane 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Etoile Du Sahel as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 0.17 for Ben Guerdane.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane?

Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 60%, draw 22%, Ben Guerdane 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✗ BTTS No
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