12/04/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Megrine vs AS Marsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
30%
Draw
28%
22%
Away Win
24%
55%
Under 2.5
57%
45%
Over 2.5
43%
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
50%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Megrine v AS Marsa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Megrine
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
AS Marsa
EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
0.67/0.65
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.13/0.96
-50%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+44%
/
+23%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
381 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
256 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Megrine vs AS Marsa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Megrine
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
AS Marsa
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Megrine vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Megrine and AS Marsa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Megrine at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Megrine vs AS Marsa?
Megrine 1-1 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Megrine vs AS Marsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Megrine win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Megrine 49%, draw 30%, AS Marsa 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Megrine) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Megrine)
✓ Under 2.5
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
12 Apr 2025