Oued Ellil 1-0 Msaken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.3pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oued Ellil EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Msaken EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
0.41/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-64% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oued Ellil
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Msaken
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.12.2024 Msaken Msaken 1-1 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil TUN2
21.11.2021 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil 2-1 Msaken Msaken TUN2A
POST-MATCH Oued Ellil vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oued Ellil edged past Msaken 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Oued Ellil found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oued Ellil had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oued Ellil and 1.00 for Msaken.

What was the final score of Oued Ellil vs Msaken?

Oued Ellil 1-0 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oued Ellil vs Msaken?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Oued Ellil 33%, draw 34%, Msaken 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
12 Apr 2025
16:30 Megrine vs AS Marsa Analysis →
16:30 Kerkennah vs Rogba Tataouine Analysis →