Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Forward Madison
USL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Charlotte Independence
USL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Forward Madison
USL1
Charlotte Independence 1-1 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence and Forward Madison couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 46% of the ball to Forward Madison's 54%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.95 to 0.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.00 for Forward Madison.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
Charlotte Independence 1-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 39%, draw 29%, Forward Madison 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte Independence) went the other way.