Panserraikos 3-1 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.78
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 37% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.96
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.78
X/2
12%
5.79
X/X
16%
4.19
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.97
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.49/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.29
+55% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.9 Crosses 16.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kallithea
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
22.11.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 1-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
3-1
AWAY Kallithea
1.63 xG 0.37
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
456 Passes 186
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos beat Kallithea 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Panserraikos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panserraikos had 67% of the ball to Kallithea's 33%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.63 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Panserraikos had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panserraikos and 1.00 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Kallithea?

Panserraikos 3-1 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 39%, draw 28%, Kallithea 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panserraikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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