Panserraikos 2-1 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

Panserraikos
2-1 HT 1-0
Kallithea
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Panserraikos vs Kallithea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.77
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
7%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 38% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.68
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.48
X/2
10%
5.92
X/X
13%
4.17
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
18%
4.14
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · X/1 at 5.48 — our 20% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+10.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-10.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.4pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panserraikos v Kallithea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.35/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.11
+27% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +106%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.8 Crosses 17.5
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Panserraikos vs Kallithea Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kallithea
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 2.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
345 Passes 256
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
22.11.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 1-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN

Panserraikos 2-1 Kallithea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
2-1
AWAY Kallithea
1.59 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
298 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos nicked a narrow win over Kallithea 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Panserraikos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panserraikos had 49% of the ball to Kallithea's 51%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.59 to 1.43.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Kallithea?

Panserraikos 2-1 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 39%, draw 27%, Kallithea 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panserraikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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