Panathinaikos 2-0 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
24.3
X/1
15%
3.5
X/2
8%
21.5
X/X
9%
6.49
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
5%
21.55
2/X
6%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.9pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.84/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.83
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
22.7 Crosses 11.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Panaitolikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.17 xG 0.42
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
515 Passes 210
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
07.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
16.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-5 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
06.03.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
09.11.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
19.02.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-0
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.70 xG 0.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos got the better of Panaitolikos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 52% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 48%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.50 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Panaitolikos?

Panathinaikos 2-0 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 59%, draw 22%, Panaitolikos 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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