Volos NFC 1-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.35
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
12%
6.66
X/2
10%
4.73
X/X
16%
3.84
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
26%
3.16
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.07
+20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.5 Crosses 14.5
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.53 xG 1.44
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
256 Passes 470
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-1 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
25.02.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
11.11.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.05.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 4-2 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
23.04.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
21.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
1-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.57 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
255 Passes 335
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC and Aris Saloniki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aris Saloniki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Volos NFC had 45% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 55%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.57 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Volos NFC and 2.33 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs Aris Saloniki?

Volos NFC 1-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 30%, draw 29%, Aris Saloniki 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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