Karvina 3-1 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.0
Over
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.59
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.55
2-3
43%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.05
6+
9%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec The Market 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
2.15/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.28
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
23.3 Crosses 21.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.93 xG 2.02
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
293 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 6-0 HT 4-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
19.04.2025 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-3 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
21.07.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-3 HT 1-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
09.03.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
30.09.2023 Karvina Karvina 5-2 HT 3-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
17.04.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
3-1
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.56 xG 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
331 Passes 159
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Karvina vs Slovan Liberec
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Karvina had too much for Slovan Liberec 3-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Liberec at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 2.11 (roughly 47%) the price was further off than we were.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. At 1.59 (~63%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, Karvina had 62% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 38%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.56 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Karvina and 2.67 for Slovan Liberec.

Karvina vs Slovan Liberec Result & Final Score

Karvina 3-1 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Karvina vs Slovan Liberec Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karvina 33%, draw 26%, Slovan Liberec 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slovan Liberec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ BTTS Yes
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