Unionistas 1-0 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 31% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.61/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.92
+17% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
264 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2025 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 2-0 HT 1-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unionistas squeezed past CD Guadalajara 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Unionistas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs CD Guadalajara?

Unionistas 1-0 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 52%, draw 25%, CD Guadalajara 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Unionistas), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Unionistas) ✓ Under 2.5
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