Pontevedra 3-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.33
Over 2.5
37%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.53
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
7.85
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-7.4pp
37%
Draw
33%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
72%
-8.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
28%
+8.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.26/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.79
-3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +64%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.09.2025 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
3-1
AWAY Ponferradina
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra beat Ponferradina 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 37% / 31%) promised a tight game; Pontevedra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontevedra had 50% of the ball to Ponferradina's 50%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Ponferradina?

Pontevedra 3-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 32%, draw 37%, Ponferradina 31%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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