Barakaldo 1-1 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.58/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.37
-5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Arenteiro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
19.02.2025 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
05.10.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-0 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
1-1
AWAY Arenteiro
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo and Arenteiro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Barakaldo carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Barakaldo had 61% of the ball to Arenteiro's 39%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barakaldo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barakaldo and 0.67 for Arenteiro.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Arenteiro?

Barakaldo 1-1 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 62%, draw 22%, Arenteiro 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barakaldo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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