Bergantinos 0-1 Sarriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarriana EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.27/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.59
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sarriana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.01.2026 Sarriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Sarriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarriana squeezed past Bergantinos 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bergantinos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Sarriana?

Bergantinos 0-1 Sarriana in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Sarriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 44%, draw 23%, Sarriana 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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