Burgos Promesas 2000 1-0 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 52%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.16/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Coruxo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2026 Coruxo Coruxo 5-1 HT 2-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
18.03.2023 Burgos Promesas 2000 1-2 HT 0-2 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
30.10.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 1-2 HT 1-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
1-0
AWAY Coruxo
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos Promesas 2000 edged past Coruxo 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Coruxo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Burgos Promesas 2000 had 52% of the ball to Coruxo's 48%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Coruxo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burgos Promesas 2000 and 2.67 for Coruxo.

What was the final score of Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Coruxo?

Burgos Promesas 2000 1-0 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Burgos Promesas 2000 24%, draw 24%, Coruxo 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coruxo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coruxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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