Lealtad 2-3 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.61
No
33%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.6pp
67%
BTTS Yes
58%
+8.8pp
33%
BTTS No
42%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lealtad EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.02/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.53
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lealtad
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2025 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 4-1 HT 0-0 Lealtad Lealtad İS4
06.03.2021 Lealtad Lealtad 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS3
06.12.2020 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 0-1 HT 0-1 Lealtad Lealtad İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lealtad
2-3
AWAY Real Valladolid II
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II nicked a narrow win over Lealtad 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Real Valladolid II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

On the day, Lealtad had 55% of the ball to Real Valladolid II's 45%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lealtad and 1.67 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II?

Lealtad 2-3 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lealtad 29%, draw 31%, Real Valladolid II 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Valladolid II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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