Real Valladolid II 4-1 Lealtad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lealtad EU Bookmakers 24%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.42/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-9% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lealtad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2021 Lealtad Lealtad 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS3
06.12.2020 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 0-1 HT 0-1 Lealtad Lealtad İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
4-1
AWAY Lealtad
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Lealtad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II ran out comfortable winners over Lealtad 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Valladolid II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 57% of the ball to Lealtad's 43%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lealtad led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Valladolid II and 1.00 for Lealtad.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Lealtad?

Real Valladolid II 4-1 Lealtad in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Lealtad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 51%, draw 26%, Lealtad 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Valladolid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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