US Latina 1-2 Casarano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Casarano EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.92/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.84
-32% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Casarano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Casarano Casarano 1-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-2
AWAY Casarano
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Casarano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano nicked a narrow win over US Latina 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was US Latina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, US Latina had 56% of the ball to Casarano's 44%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Casarano?

US Latina 1-2 Casarano in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Casarano?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split US Latina 44%, draw 24%, Casarano 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (US Latina), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Latina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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