Ternana 2-2 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.36/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.21
+9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Perugia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
208 Passes 225
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Perugia Perugia 1-2 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana İTC
23.03.2025 Ternana Ternana 0-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
10.11.2024 Perugia Perugia 0-0 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTC
18.02.2023 Perugia Perugia 3-0 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
18.09.2022 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
30.04.2022 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
2-2
AWAY Perugia
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana and Perugia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ternana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ternana had 52% of the ball to Perugia's 48%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ternana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ternana and 0.67 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Perugia?

Ternana 2-2 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ternana 45%, draw 26%, Perugia 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ternana), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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