Perugia 1-2 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.2
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.07/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.82
-4% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ternana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.45 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
212 Passes 224
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2025 Ternana Ternana 0-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
10.11.2024 Perugia Perugia 0-0 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTC
18.02.2023 Perugia Perugia 3-0 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
18.09.2022 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
30.04.2022 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
19.12.2021 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
1-2
AWAY Ternana
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana nicked a narrow win over Perugia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Ternana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perugia had 43% of the ball to Ternana's 57%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ternana led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Perugia and 0.50 for Ternana.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Ternana?

Perugia 1-2 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Perugia 33%, draw 33%, Ternana 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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