SS Monopoli 1-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 33% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.25/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.20
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-1
AWAY Atalanta II
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli and Atalanta II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 39% of the ball to Atalanta II's 61%, shots finished 10-20.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Atalanta II?

SS Monopoli 1-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 40%, draw 27%, Atalanta II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SS Monopoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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