Novara 2-2 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.85
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.29 — our 38% vs market 35.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.09/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.07
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vicenza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2025 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
29.10.2024 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
07.04.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 2-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
03.12.2023 Novara Novara 2-2 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
01.02.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-2 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
02.10.2022 Novara Novara 3-0 HT 2-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
2-2
AWAY Vicenza
55% Ball Possession 45%
3 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novara vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara and Vicenza shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Vicenza at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novara had 55% of the ball to Vicenza's 45%, shots finished 3-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novara and 1.00 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Novara vs Vicenza?

Novara 2-2 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Novara 27%, draw 24%, Vicenza 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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