Vicenza 1-0 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.5pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +8%
1.91/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.17
+11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Novara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
07.04.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 2-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
03.12.2023 Novara Novara 2-2 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
01.02.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-2 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
02.10.2022 Novara Novara 3-0 HT 2-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
24.04.2017 Vicenza Vicenza 3-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-0
AWAY Novara
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza squeezed past Novara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vicenza had 57% of the ball to Novara's 43%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vicenza and 1.50 for Novara.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Novara?

Vicenza 1-0 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 50%, draw 31%, Novara 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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