Pro Patria 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.68
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.6pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
0.98/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.74
-15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
21.01.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
17.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
23.12.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.09.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-0
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria nicked a narrow win over Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and on the day Pro Patria made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pro Patria had 52% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 48%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Pro Patria and 0.60 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Pro Patria 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 31%, draw 35%, Arzignano Valchiampo 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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