GIANA Erminio 3-1 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.31/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.21
-17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Caldiero Terme
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2025 Caldiero Terme 2-3 HT 2-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTCK
22.01.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-0 Caldiero Terme İTCK
29.10.2024 Caldiero Terme 1-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
3-1
AWAY Caldiero Terme
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio got the better of Caldiero Terme 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had GIANA Erminio as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 49% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 51%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.33 for Caldiero Terme.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Caldiero Terme?

GIANA Erminio 3-1 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 52%, draw 25%, Caldiero Terme 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
13 Mar 2025
20:30 Pergolettese vs Lumezzane Analysis →
20:30 Virtus Verona vs Trento AC Analysis →
20:30 Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo Analysis →
20:30 Renate vs Padova Calcio Analysis →
20:30 FeralpiSalo vs Clodiense Analysis →
22:45 Alcione vs Lecco Analysis →