Union Brescia 0-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
67%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.7pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 14%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.56/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.56
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Brescia
0-1
AWAY Lumezzane
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Brescia vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane nicked a narrow win over Union Brescia 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Union Brescia at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union Brescia had 48% of the ball to Lumezzane's 52%, shots finished 14-15.

What was the final score of Union Brescia vs Lumezzane?

Union Brescia 0-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Brescia vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Union Brescia 63%, draw 23%, Lumezzane 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Brescia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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