Casertana vs Audace Cerignola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casertana v Audace Cerignola — Team-Based Signals
Casertana vs Audace Cerignola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-2
Casertana
İTC
Casertana 4-1 Audace Cerignola — Actual Match Statistics
Casertana cruised past Audace Cerignola 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Casertana had 47% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 53%, shots finished 15-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casertana and 0.83 for Audace Cerignola.
What was the final score of Casertana vs Audace Cerignola?
Casertana 4-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casertana vs Audace Cerignola?
Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Casertana 46%, draw 25%, Audace Cerignola 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.