Köln 3-1 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.2
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.94
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.5
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.2
6+
6%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.2
1/2
2%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.1
X/1
14%
5.34
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
17%
4.69
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
17%
4.35
2/X
6%
12.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Köln The Market 45%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
Average Attack Strength Great
Strong Defense Strength Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 Passes 319
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
16.02.2024 Köln Köln 0-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
23.09.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL1
20.05.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL1
21.01.2023 Köln Köln 7-1 HT 5-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
07.03.2021 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
3 - 1
AWAY Werder Bremen
3.48 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
27 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
438 Passes 280
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
49 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Köln vs Werder Bremen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Köln put daylight between themselves and Werder Bremen 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Köln had 58% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 42%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 3.48 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Köln and 1.17 for Werder Bremen.

Köln vs Werder Bremen Result & Final Score

Köln 3 - 1 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Köln vs Werder Bremen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Köln 41%, draw 28%, Werder Bremen 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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