Osnabrück 1-0 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.14
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
9%
5.23
X/2
10%
6.4
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.35
2/2
15%
4.28
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.57
-28% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
22.1 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
313 Passes 380
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2025 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
01.03.2025 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 1-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
24.09.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-5 HT 1-2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
27.04.2019 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
24.11.2018 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
05.02.2016 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1-0
AWAY Energie Cottbus
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 11
211 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück squeezed past Energie Cottbus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 40% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 60%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Osnabrück and 1.33 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Energie Cottbus?

Osnabrück 1-0 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 43%, draw 26%, Energie Cottbus 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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