Energie Cottbus 1-2 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
11%
11.8
X/1
13%
5.47
X/2
6%
6.89
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.35
2/X
5%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
0.78/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
+48% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.9 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
327 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-5 HT 1-2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
27.04.2019 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
24.11.2018 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
05.02.2016 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
25.08.2015 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
07.12.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-2 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
1-2
AWAY Osnabrück
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
375 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück squeezed past Energie Cottbus 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Energie Cottbus at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 52% of the ball to Osnabrück's 48%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.83 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Osnabrück?

Energie Cottbus 1-2 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 43%, draw 28%, Osnabrück 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Energie Cottbus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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