Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.77
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.15
1/2
9%
22.55
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
12%
6.71
X/2
12%
5.54
X/X
11%
5.43
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
19%
3.08
2/X
8%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.49/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.49
+6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 22.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 HT 3-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
17.03.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
13.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
19.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
13.08.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
17.03.2021 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
0-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
319 Passes 387
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen edged past Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Essen made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 46% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 54%, shots finished 11-25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 2.00 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 33%, draw 27%, Rot-Weiss Essen 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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